129780514545937500_165First quarter of the year, as the housing market regulation "policy bottom" consensus of the industry, demand release of Shanghai, Beijing and other cities, but how about House prices a "reasonable return" still differences. On being held by Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2012
tera gold, around the market trend this year, Chinese and foreign participants intense collision, exploring the price return of "end of the market"For the reform of China's real estate pulse interrogation. Policy bottom: just need to "pick up" reform "regression" during the two sessions this year, Vice-Minister of Housing Department made clear that will not introduce new real estate policies recently. "Policy bottom" signal issue, prompted the developer "price change", containing long rigid demand began to gradually release.Participants said, SOHO China Chairman Pan shiyi, the early "restriction order" after the policy, from last September began the national property market turnover "Cliff" fell.����But the Government "policy bottom" and developer "price change" under the combined effects of, recent signs of recovery in some cities property market. Network of Beijing municipal construction Committee website to check data show that in MarchBeijing new residential Agency, after the removal of subsidized housing turnover per cent from February 46.6%, new house price has been adjusted to $ 20,000 for 3 consecutive months. Haikou abilities have been buying from the public plan, after a long wait-and-see recently managed to buy a small apartment. "Government regulation policy Department said almost, no longer come to the fear that the price will againRebound.����"According to the Institute of monitoring of 40 cities in China from March 19, heavyivy turnover growth of the property market in 22 cities. Participants and Nobel Laureate Michael Phelps believes that Chinese Government has adopted a series of policies to prevent investors too quickly fried high property prices, is to correct the excessive growth of the price structure. SequoiaCapital founder Neil Shen said: "even high house prices has caused loss of talent from overseas.����"Never waver in upholding the regulation of the Central Government's attitude to developers not optimistic, upholding, developing demand-for-price consensus of the industry. "Real estate industry in the ' winter ', must be mining effort required, 234 lines focus on potential cities."Jia Zhou Suping Group Director admits.����Participants generally agreed that the home needs-oriented market, will be the 2012 distinct characteristics of the property market in China, don't expect House prices will rebound this year, sound adjustment will continue to be the basic trend. Market end of search: House prices return to "reasonable interval" remains to be some time this year, the Wen Jiabao Prime Minister said the two associations throughout the country,Where home prices are far from return to a reasonable price, so control cannot be relaxed. In this regard, Shanghai residential real estate Research Institute Yang Hongxu said, at present China's top 500 enterprises of "inventory" huge, many developers of financial stress, more prominent. Under the dual pressure, through the withdrawal of funds is the main path of price promotion. New wheels at a discount price surge is expected, in the next twoContinue to expand within three months.����Then, prices down much space?����Participants, Zhang Qizuo, Vice President of the University of Chengdu considered, if the property of the local Government to strictly enforce the current policies do not waver, the bottom of the market will appear before the end of the latest prices falling at least 15% per cent of the space. Gu Yunchang, Vice of China real estate Association is considered, After last year's adjusted basic rational of most small and medium-sized cities, but the reasonable return of first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai will be very difficult. Some participants believed that cannot be ignored "prices reasonable return to" resistance of local governments in the process. "End of the market" appears, adjust the levels are reasonable, depending on the local Government will own the property market "restrictions"."Warmer if the volume and the price fell two index first appeared
tera gold, can verify that appears at the bottom.����"Yang Hongxu said, hopeful view, property market this year," end of the market "will appear in the 23rd quarter.����But some participants have said, from the perspective of price factors such as income, housing market looking for end of it takes a long time. "It is clear that current price income ratios andAverage profit in real estate is still too high.����"Zhang Qizuo thought, between house price income ratios should be controlled in 3:1 per cent, real estate average gross margins between controls in 10% per cent. Reform followed up: exit policies should avoid new "retaliatory rally" in regulation under high pressure, current speculative property investment needs are effectively checked, it was implementing real estateGood time to institutional reform. "Current real estate adjustment and effect is still short, needs regulation tends to suppress the supply for the next stage in the short term, but will bring upward pressure on prices in the future.����"Zhang Qizuo said, frequently changing regulation policy, there will be volatility in the market. "Since it is a short term policies, will sooner or later have to exit. "China (Hainan) reform Development InstituteExecutive President Mr. Chi Fulin said that only the system can "fill" withdrawal of policy space.����Otherwise, the control will be difficult to get out of the property market "more regulation" and "retaliatory rally" circle. For real estate how to deep reforms, Jia Kang, Director, Institute of fiscal science, Ministry believes that "dual ordination" is the important means of solution to the current price is too high. "Policy-track" on theAffordable housing supply is to the Government-led "underpin"; on House prices, the Government should no longer be strong intervention by administrative means.����"Market-track" plan of Government should be on the main tube, tube, tube rule collection. Jia Kang, suggested that "Twelve-Five" during the first-tier cities should follow up tax. Real estate tax retain links can form a variety of positive effects, reasonable incentive of local governmentTransformation of functions, addressed in the reform of local Government on the financial reliance. "The transition year of 2012 is real estate. "Pan shiyi believes that developers" money to enclosure, build houses can earn "development mode has ended. Government should switch to using tax policy, monetary policy, regulation of the real estate market, by means of increasing land supply market in the allocation of resourcesStability in the property market. This year, the housing guarantee system construction, a national network of individual housing information system
tera power leveling, real estate taxes, extend the scope of the pilot "system level" will accelerate the reform.����Participants believe that, considering that in speeding up the process of urbanization in China, to avoid the "roller coaster" rebound, market reform still has a long way to go. ("Xinhua perspective" reporter Wang Hui, And Xu Rui)
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